To: Team McCain
From: Rick Davis
Date: February 12, 2008
Re: Huckabee Prospects after 2/12
The results from tonight’s primary elections in Virginia, Maryland and Washington, DC, make it mathematically impossible for Governor Huckabee to secure the Republican nomination for president. He now needs 950 delegates to secure the required 1,191. But in the remaining contests there are only 774 delegates available. He would need to win 123% of remaining delegates.
After tonight’s elections in Virginia, Maryland and Washington, DC, contests have been held in 34 states and Washington, DC, allocating the vast majority of delegates needed to secure the nomination.
In the contests that remain, only 774 delegates remain to be allocated. After tonight’s contests, Governor Huckabee has 241 delegates and John McCain has 839 (739 before the results in Virginia, Maryland and Washington, DC -- based on AP reporting).
For John McCain to reach the threshold of 1,191 delegates needed to secure the nomination, he needs to win roughly 35% of the 774 remaining delegates.
For Governor Huckabee to reach the 1,191 delegate threshold, he needs an additional 950 delegates -- more than remain available in future contests.
With only 774 delegates left on the table
after tonight, Governor Huckabee cannot win the Republican nomination for
president
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