Daily Swing State Tracking Poll
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In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% support to Obama’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
This is the first time Romney has led the daily Swing State Survey since September 19. Until today, the president had led for 17 of the previous 19 days, and the candidates had been tied twice. This survey is based on findings from the previous seven days, with most of the responses now coming since Romney’s debate win last Wednesday night.
Forty-six percent (46%) of these Swing State voters are now “certain” they will vote for Romney and will not change their minds. Forty percent (40%) are certain they will vote for the president.
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
Nationally, the candidates are tied in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
(Swing State Job Approval Data Below Table)
The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 48%. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove. These figures include 28% who Strongly Approve and 45% who Strongly Disapprove.
These results are derived from tracking poll data collected for the seven days ending October 8, 2012. The sample includes approximately 1,300 Likely Voters, and the margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Reports issues our daily Swing State Tracking Poll to supplement, not replace, individual state polling. In Colorado and Ohio, Obama leads by a point. In Iowa and Nevada, the president is up two. He now leads by three in Wisconsin and has jumped to double-digit leads in Michigan and Pennsylvania. Romney leads by one in Virginia and two in Florida. He’s ahead by three in Missouri, North Carolina and New Hampshire. See the latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.