Obama's Shrinking Majority by Karl Rove

ON-AIR: KARL ROVE'S UPCOMING MEDIA APPEARANCES SPECIAL REPORT WITH BRET BAIER | Monday, July 16, 6:00 PM ET (Fox News Channel, Check Local Listings) VARNEY & CO. | Tuesday, July 17, 9:20 AM ET (Fox Business Network, Check Local Listings) HAPPENING NOW | Tuesday, July 17, 11:00 AM ET (Fox News Channel, Check Local Listings) For more appearances, visit www.Rove.com. WSJ: OBAMA'S SHRINKING MAJORITY Elections are about numbers, and right now the president's are bad. To understand why, consider 2008 as a reference point. That year, Barack Obama received 69,456,897 votes to John McCain's 59,934,814. But a big chunk of President Obama's 9.5 million-vote advantage is probably gone. Let's break this down... >> Read Full Article >> Email | Tweet This | Share On Facebook POLLING NEWS & NOTES Polling News & Notes is a regular update published by Rove & Co. highlighting overlooked trends and insights in polling, political demography, and election statistics. July 12, 2012: Summer State of the Presidential Race FOX NEWS OPINION: DON'T BE FOOLED BY 'GOOD NEWS' FOR OBAMA At first glance, the USA Today/Gallup poll of twelve battleground states, conducted June 22-29, looks like good news for President Obama. In the poll released Monday, Mr. Obama leads Mitt Romney 47% to 45% in the territory where most observers agree the presidential race will be settled. But USA Today failed to provide context for its survey of voter attitudes in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin, just as it did when it issued its May 2 battleground state poll. >> Read Full Article >> Email | Tweet This | Share On Facebook ICYMI: NEW VIDEO FROM AMERICAN CROSSROADS Obama says there's a war on women. There is - but it's waged by the Obama Economy. For more information on how the President Obama's failed policies are hurting women, check out the new American Crossroads video. >> Watch Video >> Email | Tweet This | Share On Facebook RECOMMENDED READ: OBAMACARE IS AN UNHEALTHY PRESCRIPTION BY GOV. SCOTT WALKER, THE WASHINGTON POST Since the Supreme Court upheld President Obama’s health-care mandate, there has been exhaustive discussion about the philosophical basis of this federal law. As Election Day approaches, debate will surely grow about the proper role of our federal government. >> Read Full Article >> Email | Tweet This | Share On Facebook ELECTION 2012: STATE OF THE RACE Mitt Romney made more gains in the June 22 map, as Montana moved to the "safe Romney" column, increasing his total number of Electoral College votes to 101. Two important battleground states also moved in his direction, with New Hampshire changing from "safe Obama" to "lean Obama" and Iowa moving from "safe Obama" to "toss up." >> View Map >> Email | Tweet This | Share On Facebook 2012: KEY RE-ELECTION STATISTICS, JUNE UPDATE The graph represents the average poll rating for President Barack Obama in the past month and three previous presidents at the same point in their administration. Stay tuned for updates to see how Mr. Obama is positioned for reelection compared to his predecessors based on these key indicators. >> View Graph >> Email | Tweet This | Share On Facebook OTHER WAYS TO CONNECT WITH KARL Karl's social network is growing and here are some more ways you can connect with him. If you have something you'd like to ask Karl, post it on his Facebook wall! If he answers your question, he'll send you an autographed photo. You can also join Karl on Twitter or sign up to receive his articles via RSS feed.