Election 2010: Arizona Republican Primary for Governor
Arizona GOP Primary for Governor:
Brewer Now Draws 61% Support
Incumbent Jan Brewer now earns 61% support in Arizona’s Republican Primary race for governor, marking her second big monthly gain in a row.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely GOP Primary Voters in Arizona finds businessman Buz Mills a far distant second with 16% of the vote, followed by State Treasurer Dean Martin at 12%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and nine percent (9%) are undecided.
Brewer has had a remarkable surge in support since signing the state’s new immigration law and becoming a forceful national advocate of the measure despite criticism from President Obama, Mexican President Felipe Calderon and others.
Eighty-nine percent (89%) of GOP Primary voters support the immigration law, and 66% of those voters favor Brewer.
In March, before the health care law and immigration issues began to improve her standing, Brewer was in a virtual three-way tie for the nomination. She had drawn primary competition because of her unpopularity amidst the state’s budget problems.
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The survey of 707 Likely Republican Primary Voters in Arizona was conducted on June 16, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Eighty-four percent (84%) of GOP Primary voters now approve of the job Brewer is doing as governor. This is little changed from a month ago but up 30 points from April.
Ninety-three percent (93%) of GOP Primary voters say the immigration law is at least somewhat important in terms of how they will vote, with 77% who say it is Very Important. Arizona Republicans will pick their gubernatorial nominee in an August 24 primary.
A national telephone survey found that 56% of voters nationwide said their views on illegal immigration are closer to Brewer’s than to President Obama’s. Thirty-four percent (34%) said their views are more like the president’s. This followed a brief White House meeting between the two executives.
Given a 2012 election contest for president between Obama as the Democratic candidate and Brewer as the Republican, 44% of all voters supported the incumbent, while 39% preferred the governor – even though 54% had no opinion of Brewer.
Forty-seven percent (47%) of Republican Primary voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Brewer, up 17 points from a month ago, while just six percent (6%) view her Very Unfavorably.
For Martin, Very Favorables are eight percent (8%) and Very Unfavorables also eight percent (8%).
Mills is seen Very Favorably by 15% and Very Unfavorably by eight percent (8%).
At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.
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