Gov. Jan Brewer's Approval Rating Way Up - Takes Large Lead in Primary Election Poll

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Election 2010: Arizona Republican Primary for Governor

Arizona GOP Primary for Governor: Support for Brewer Soars

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Arizona Governor Jan Brewer, following her signing and passionate defense of the state’s new immigration law, now claims 45% of the vote in the state’s Republican Primary field. That’s a 19-point gain from a month ago and puts her well ahead of all her challengers.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely GOP Primary Voters in Arizona shows State Treasurer Dean Martin and businessman Buz Mills each attracting 18% support. Former state Republican Party Chairman John Munger trails with three percent (3%). Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and 13% are undecided.

Just last month, Brewer held a modest lead with 26% of the primary vote, followed by Mills at 18%, Munger at 14% and Martin with 12%. Twenty-four percent (24%) were undecided.

In March, Brewer, Martin and Mills were in a three-way tie, each attracting about 20% of GOP voters.

Arizona Republicans will pick their gubernatorial nominee in an August 24 primary.

Rasmussen Reports will release the latest numbers pitting the Republican hopefuls against likely Democratic gubernatorial nominee Terry Goddard tomorrow. One week after signing the immigration law which Goddard opposes, Brewer posted a 48% to 40% lead over the Democrat.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 541 Likely Republican Primary Voters in Arizona was conducted on May 17, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

In late April, 64% of Arizona voters supported the new immigration law despite criticism of it by President Obama and others. Among GOP voters, support stood at 87%.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Likely GOP Primary Voters now approve of Brewer’s performance as governor, up 31 points from a month ago. Just 15% disapprove. This includes 38% who Strongly Approve of the job she is doing and six percent (6%) who Strongly Disapprove.

Brewer is now viewed Very Favorably by 30% of primary voters and Very Unfavorably by five percent (5%).

Twelve percent (12%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Martin, while five percent (5%) regard him Very Unfavorably.

For Mills, Very Favorables are 13% and Very Unfavorables eight percent (8%).

Munger earns Very Favorables of three percent (3%) and Very Unfavorables of 10%.

Brewer is by far the best-known candidate in the race. At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.