Thursday, February 11, 2010
A new poll shows former state Sen. Jim Waring, R-Phoenix, with a big early lead in the crowded GOP primary race to replace retiring U.S. Rep. John Shadegg, R-Ariz. The survey was conducting by the Summit Consulting Group , which is affiliated with Waring's congressional candidacy, so the other House hopefuls probably won't take its results as gospel.
Here's what the poll found:
Waring . . . 50 percent
Former state Sen. Pamela Gorman . . . 26.8 percent
Former state Rep. Sam Crump . . . 8.5 percent
Paradise Valley Mayor Vernon Parker . . . 7.3 percent
Former state Rep. Debra Brimhall . . . 2.4 percent
Former Paradise Valley Mayor Ed Winkler . . . 2.4 percent
Former Maricopa County special hospital district board member Paulina Morris . . . 1.2 percent
Winkler may want to inquire about possibly protesting the results. On the Summit Consulting Group news release at least, his name was misspelled as "Winkel." (UPDATE: Summit says Winkler's name was correct in the poll itself, just wrong in the release.)
Shadegg, who first was elected to Congress in 1994, announced Jan. 14 that he will not seek a ninth House term.
The Summit Consulting Group poll was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday in legislative distrists 6, 7 and 11, which largely correspond with Shadegg's 3rd Congressional District. The survey of 300 likely GOP voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points.
Chad Willems of the Summit Consulting Group acknowledged that the company is working with Waring, but said the Waring campaign "did not commission the poll. This was done independently by my firm." He added that the Summit group will be "conducting surveys in other races (local, state, federal) that we are not affiliated with."
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