Senior Political Analyst
No.
Hennessey, who worked in the Bush White House and for Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, writes that “someone in the administration put a lot of work into this proposal. It is extremely detailed, and it reads like a best effort to find a fair middle ground between two warring legislative bodies.”
Nonetheless, he concludes that without an agreement between Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Majority Leader Harry Reid to push this proposal through the House and, by the reconciliation process, the Senate, “it is possible that we are witnessing uncoordinated Democratic leaders each pursuing their own exit strategy in anticipation of legislative failure.” He continues to believe the chances that no bill will be passed are 90%.
My sense is that Pelosi doesn’t have the 217 votes (with two House vacancies) she needs for passage of a health care bill and that Reid doesn’t have the clear concurrence of 50 Democratic senators to use the reconciliation process.
My guess is that Pelosi will be reluctant to bring a bill to the floor until the Senate has passed one, and that she needs a Stupak amendment on abortion, which isn’t in the Obama proposal, to get close. For a dose of healthy skepticism that the Obama initiative will result in final legislation, see Megan McArdle of the Atlantic.
Read more at the Washington Examiner: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/blogs/beltway-confidential/Is-the-Obama-health-care-proposal-serious-84984622.html#ixzz0gNXFzkya
2 comments:
It's that 10% possibility that worries me. I believe the reconciliation process,will be used as a final tactic to out maneuver, not just the Republicans, but the American people.
These whack jobs, are determined to stick to us, before there are voted into oblivion.
I am praying that enough moderate democrats, if they really exist, will realize that if they vote for it, their careers are over.
Obama's up and coming town hall, will be used as a bully pulpit, to push this junk bill, one last time.
It will be like Toyota's recall to fix the gas pedals in their vehicles. The work being done to fix the problem, won't fix the problem.
This bill needs to be tossed on the scrap heap and a new, smaller and more concise one, written in its place. A bi-partisan bill, that does not mandate health care and allows the private sector to compete fairly with each other. It should include Congressman Shadegg's plan to allow us to buy insurance across state lines and should definitely include tort reform.
I hope that November will bring real change to America. Change based on the Constitution and not the assuming of authority, by our Gov't, that is not given to them by the people in that greatest of documents.
If the Dems are foolish enough to use 'Reconciliation' to jam this down our throats, the 2010 elections will make 1994 look tame.
Obama & his cronies only care about themselves and paying back the crooks who help get him elected.
Sen. John McCain, who was invited to this 'summit' has a petition you can sign online to stop this ObamaCare Part II:
SIGN THE PETITION TO STOP OBAMACARE & START OVER!
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