Dick Morris' Analysis of the Map
During the past week, Obama‘s lead in national polls of the popular vote has expanded to an average of 7.2 points. Not only are the traditional swing states like Florida and Ohio long since gone to the Democrats, but also the latest poll results put such stalwart Republican states as Alabama, Texas, South Dakota, Indiana, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Montana within reach of Democrats. Although these red states all still lean toward McCain, it is getting too close for comfort for him.
In the meantime, Republican bastions like South Carolina, Georgia, and Louisiana are now no better than tossups.
If the election took place this week, it would be a wipeout of major proportions. Even McCain‘s home state of Arizona has to be classified as leaning toward Obama.
McCain, as of now, can be certain of carrying just eight states with a combined total of only 36 electoral votes.
But the campaign has three weeks to run. If the financial crisis begins to settle down, and voters can take a good look at the man they are about to elect president, there is still time and a real chance for a major swing back to McCain. It looks like the campaign 2008 roller coaster still has several more turns to make, before the historic ride is over.
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