I've looked at the GOP Super Tuesday Primary races. Taking into consideration the rules for each state, here are my predictions:
I've looked at the GOP Super Tuesday Primary races. Taking into consideration the rules for each state, here are my predictions:
GOP Delegates
State McCain Romney Huckabee
CA 128 48 0
NY* 101 0 0
GA 24 24 24
IL 30 25 5
MS* 58 0 0
TN 20 18 19
AZ* 53 0 0
NJ* 52 0 0
AL 20 16 12
MA 13 30 0
CT* 30 0 0
CO 16 30 0
MN 30 11 0
OK 30 11 0
UT* 0 36 0
AK 20 4 10
WV 5 15 10
AL 14 15 0
ND 9 15 0
MONT* 0 25 0
DEL* 18 0 0
McCain Romney Huckabee
Total Delegates 752 323 80
* = Winner Take All States
In California, I looked at the Field Poll, the ONLY on-going District-By-District Polling on this race in CA. Out of the 53 districts in CA, only 15 of them what you might call Ultra-Conservative (I pick Romney to win those). Problem for Romney is that the other 38 districts are much more like CA (I chose those for McCain). Winner gets 3 delegates for winning each district. Overall winner gets 11. That is why McCain does well in CA despite what the Far Right is telling you.
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