Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Analysis: McCain Nearly Unstoppable By Liz Sidoti, AP






WASHINGTON (AP) - John McCain's string of cross-country victories made him all but unstoppable - and proved his appeal across a broad swath of the Republican Party.


The Arizona senator was racking up enough convention delegates in Super Tuesday's coast-to-coast voting to put him within reach of the coveted GOP presidential nomination that eluded him eight years ago. Mitt Romney faced a decision of whether to stretch out the bruising race for another few weeks while Mike Huckabee competed for - and in some ways found - relevancy.

"We've won some of the biggest states in the country. We have won primaries in the West, the South, the Midwest, and the Northeast," McCain told a rambunctious crowd in Phoenix. "And although I've never minded the role of the underdog ... we must get used to the idea that we are the Republican Party front-runner for the nomination of president of the United States. And I don't really mind it one bit."

He scored big victories in winner-take-all
New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Delaware, and won in California, Illinois,
Oklahoma and Arizona, fueled by a number of diverse voting groups, including
moderates, independents, men, older voters, veterans and Hispanics.
Conservatives who long have viewed him warily proved more difficult to win over.
Despite that, McCain seized Missouri, also a winner-take-all and a hard-fought
contest Romney had pursued fiercely.

As results were tallied, McCain led with 497 delegates, to 200 for Romney and 141 for Huckabee. It takes 1,191 to win the nomination at this summer's convention in St. Paul, Minn., and McCain was nearly half way there.

"One thing that's clear is this campaign's going on!" Romney told his backers in Boston, undeterred by the deficit - and the fact that he won only caucuses in North Dakota, Montana and Minnesota as well as primaries in Massachusetts, his home state, and Utah, whose huge Mormon population was friendly to one of their own.

Huckabee, too, promised to press on - and tried to edge out Romney. Christian evangelicals contributed to the former Arkansas governor's strong showings in the South and helped cut into Romney's standing among conservatives there and elsewhere. That was true in Illinois and Missouri, and the race ended up tipping to McCain.

"I've got to say that Mitt Romney was right about one thing - this is a two man race. He was just wrong about who the other man in the race was. It's me, not him," Huckabee told The Associated Press, emboldened by wins in West Virginia, Alabama, Tennessee, Georgia and Arkansas.

The trio, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul, fought Tuesday for more than 1,000 delegates at stake in primaries and caucuses in 21 states.

Going into Tuesday's voting, McCain and Romney were best positioned to win the nomination, and the cross-country contests tested the reach of both to the GOP's ideological segments.
McCain led among Republicans who called themselves moderates, while Romney had an edge among Republicans who said they are conservatives, according to preliminary results of exit polling in 16 states for the AP and television networks. But, in a sign of progress for McCain, the two tied among self-described Republicans. McCain, as expected, had the advantage among independents who voted in GOP primaries.

On candidate qualities, McCain got
strong support from people valuing experience, leadership and the ability to
beat Democrats in a general election. He was widely considered the best
Republican to be commander in chief.
Romney, for his part, dominated among people looking for a candidate who shared their values and those wanting a hard line against illegal immigrants.

2 comments:

x4mr said...

Congratulations. Those of us paying attention knew this would happen when the disdain for Romney came out.

The only surprise for me was the strength of Huckabee. I thought he'd be second or third everywhere. That he won several surprised me.

McCain has it nailed. Any idea on a Veep?

Tony GOPrano said...

X4MR, Great Job today on NPR. That was fun. No ideas on a McCain VP. They have been way to busy to even think about one. You can count OUT that MN Gov Tim Pawlenty; he couldn't deliver his own state for McCain. This is getting fun!