Monday, January 28, 2008
Some of this analysis is overdone:
John McCain has just had a heck of a week. He's peaking at the right time in Florida, perhaps just in time to come away Tuesday evening with the Sunshine State's 57 convention delegates as well as momentum into Super Tuesday, just a week after Florida's primary.
In boxing, when a fighter flurries at the end of a round he may win it even if he hadn't been the best up to the flurry. It's called stealing a round. Bad name, but a legit strategy. If you're susceptible to sports metaphors, as I am, this may be the way you see the last few days for McCain.
Except that the trend has been fairly steady for McCain over the last month or so, with only an occasional bump in the road. Look at his chart at InTrade:
Latest Polls Show Break Towards McCain
Looks like Florida is about to get on the bus! Rasmussen, which only yesterday had Romney up by
six, today reports the race dead even, and that's the worst news for McCain.
Almost all the other pollsters show McCain up a couple
points.
Bill Clinton attempted to sandbag McCain by talking about how much Hillary and he like each other; Drudge kept it on his front page all weekend (in his continuing effort to prop up Romney).
I seem to recall, however, from one of the debates earlier this year, Mr. McCain making reference to Senator Clinton's attempt to spend $1 million of taxpayer money on a Woodstock Concert Museum to honor what McCain called a "cultural and pharmaceutical event."
His good-natured mockery of the
Woodstock Concert ended with, perhaps, the most memorable line uttered by any
candidate so far this year:"I wasn't there. I was tied up at the
time."
In fact, Bill does not want McCain to be the Republican nominee, because he knows McCain would school Hillary in any foreign policy/defense debate. I'm not guaranteeing a win in the general election; prospects are mediocre at best for any Republican candidate in this atmosphere. But McCain has the best chance of winning as John Hinderaker notes today:
Barring a surprise in Florida, Republican primary voters and caucus-goers on mega-Tuesday will face a stark but classic political choice: do they go with Romney, whose views across a broad range of issues are more palatable to conservatives and whose economic expertise may be badly needed, or with McCain, who seems pretty clearly more likely to prevent the Clintons from re-inhabiting the White House? It's not an easy choice. We'll have more to say about it in due course.
2 comments:
McCain's appointment of Juan Hernandez as his Director of Hispanic Outreach has shown John for the lair he is. How can he say that he 'get's it" about the border and illegal immigration when he has a man on his staff that is on recorded as saying:
“I work with the community in the United States, the Mexican community because I don‘t want them essentially going native on us. We want them continually tied emotionally, linguistically, politically to Mexico, because then they‘ll continue to send money home.”
and:
“I want the third generation, the seventh generation, I want them all to think ‘Mexico first.’”
and:
“We must not only have a free flow of goods and services, but also start working for a free flow of people.”
A man who said to Congressman Tancredo: “Congressman, it‘s not two countries; it‘s just a region.”
So much for John's promises. Why would anyone elect a man who won't stand up for the sovereignty of this nation. I guess John will go back to call those of us that want secure borders 'Chicken Shit', racist, bigots, zenophobes, yeah that should win him a lot of votes.
Lucca,
Didn't you get whacked in Godfather Part 1?
I don't seem to remember Sen. McCain calling you a 'Chicken Shit'? Are you one?
BTW Lucca, Sen. McCain is going to win in FLA tomorrow. Sorry to have to break the 'bad news' to you!
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